Al F Posted November 9, 2016 Report Posted November 9, 2016 A few months ago there was great concern about the world and US markets in this forum topic about Britain exiting the EU. So, now, where do you put your money reserves with the world markets plunging with the US election? http://www.nytimes.com/2016/11/10/business/dealbook/stock-markets-election.html Al & Sharon 2006 Winnebago Journey 36G 2020 Chevy Colorado Toad San Antonio, TX http://downtheroadaroundthebend.blogspot.com/
justRich Posted November 9, 2016 Report Posted November 9, 2016 I have no knee-jerk reaction to the event. However, the markets do react and it could be a good time to take advantage of this drop in values. Trump still has to deal with Congress which is like herding cats. Sometimes not much can get done execpt to spend more money. And you know what that means. ~Rich
dougdogs Posted November 9, 2016 Report Posted November 9, 2016 looks like less of a drop than 4 and 8 years ago. I plan on making some purchases at opening bell 2005 Charleston 400TS Diesel PusherRV there yet?
Big Greg Posted November 9, 2016 Report Posted November 9, 2016 Let it drop......it would be a buying opportunity. I'm watching and waiting to buy. The sky is not going to fall. Greg Greg & Judy Bahnmiller Class of 2007 2014 F350 2007 HitchHiker Champagne Both sold 2/19, settled in Foley, AL after 12 years on the road http://bahnmilleradventure.blogspot.com/
Dennis M Posted November 9, 2016 Report Posted November 9, 2016 Recovering this morning. We'll ride it out just like we did the last time. Long term thinking has always worked out for us. Dennis & NancyTucson, AZ in winter, on the road in summer.1999 Volvo 610 "Bud" 425 HP Volvo, Super 10 spd.2005 Mountain Aire 35 BLKS2013 smart fortwo CityFlame riding on Bud(Replaced '05 smart first loaded in '06 and '11 smart that gave it's life to save me!)Our Travel Blog
mscans Posted November 9, 2016 Report Posted November 9, 2016 The markets are now ALL up over 1%, a normal good day. The sky did not fall! Happy Trails, Florida Mike EXPERTS AREN'T!!
Al F Posted November 10, 2016 Author Report Posted November 10, 2016 Yep, Just like the Brexit issue, the world didn't crash because a single country did something the world didn't think that country would do. Al & Sharon 2006 Winnebago Journey 36G 2020 Chevy Colorado Toad San Antonio, TX http://downtheroadaroundthebend.blogspot.com/
Chalkie Posted November 10, 2016 Report Posted November 10, 2016 Last I read the market closed today within 49 points of an all time high.
Kirk W Posted November 10, 2016 Report Posted November 10, 2016 Last I read the market closed today within 49 points of an all time high. Which is the reason it isn't typically wise to move too quickly. Most people loose money when following market moves that are based more upon emotions than anything else. Latest from world financial markets............. Good travelin !...............KirkFull-time 11+ years...... Now seasonal travelers.Kirk & Pam's Great RV Adventure
mscans Posted November 11, 2016 Report Posted November 11, 2016 Looks like we survived another disaster, WHEWW! Happy Trails, Florida Mike EXPERTS AREN'T!!
Al F Posted November 11, 2016 Author Report Posted November 11, 2016 Looks like we survived another disaster, WHEWW! At least for the short term. Just look at the differences of opinion about the last 8 years, the 8 years, before that and the 8 years before that, whether those years were disasters or not. Assessing disaster generally comes after the fact. Al & Sharon 2006 Winnebago Journey 36G 2020 Chevy Colorado Toad San Antonio, TX http://downtheroadaroundthebend.blogspot.com/
mscans Posted November 12, 2016 Report Posted November 12, 2016 At least for the short term. Just look at the differences of opinion about the last 8 years, the 8 years, before that and the 8 years before that, whether those years were disasters or not. Assessing disaster generally comes after the fact. Differences of opinions will be with us forever. We obviously survived those "disasters" and never really noticed. We will do OK this time around also! Happy Trails, Florida Mike EXPERTS AREN'T!!
Jimalberta Posted November 12, 2016 Report Posted November 12, 2016 My financial guy is very good, doesnt over react to everything and aims for the long term. Havent talked to him in almost 2 years . We just spend the money....lol <p>....JIM and LINDA......2001 American Eagle 40 '.towing a GMC Sierra 1500 4X4 with RZR in the rear. 1999 JEEP Cherokee that we tow as well. IT IS A CONTENTED MAN WHO CAN APPRECIATE THE SCENERY ALONG A DETOUR.
RV_ Posted November 12, 2016 Report Posted November 12, 2016 I'm still in. RV/Derekhttp://www.rvroadie.com Email on the bottom of my website page.Retired AF 1971-1998 When you see a worthy man, endeavor to emulate him. When you see an unworthy man, look inside yourself. - Confucius “Those who can make you believe absurdities, can make you commit atrocities.” ... Voltaire
Kirk W Posted November 13, 2016 Report Posted November 13, 2016 Differences of opinions will be with us forever. We obviously survived those "disasters" and never really noticed. We will do OK this time around also! If you study the history of the US stock market, you will discover that there have been very few periods as long as 8 years when the market has been down and no down periods as long as 15 years. Most wild market swings are caused more by emotions than facts. Good travelin !...............KirkFull-time 11+ years...... Now seasonal travelers.Kirk & Pam's Great RV Adventure
mscans Posted November 14, 2016 Report Posted November 14, 2016 If you study the history of the US stock market, you will discover that there have been very few periods as long as 8 years when the market has been down and no down periods as long as 15 years. Most wild market swings are caused more by emotions than facts. Yep, emotions and of course some "profit" taking by those in the know. Wait. . . . isn't that illegal (as in insider trading) Happy Trails, Florida Mike EXPERTS AREN'T!!
whj469 Posted December 5, 2016 Report Posted December 5, 2016 My financial guy is me and during the past five years I have been balancing the portfolio to 50% bonds and 50% stocks in mutual funds. When I retired on September 1st after 38 years as CEO of a 430 employee company I moved my retirement funds from the company plan to an IRA because of the 20% minimum IRS withholding. As I was putting pre tax dollars into the plan during my working years which my employer also contributed into the plan for me, it was about 90% stocks. I also did without because I put as much into the plan as I could during my working years. Good Luck
Ron Posted December 11, 2016 Report Posted December 11, 2016 My financial guy is me and during the past five years I have been balancing the portfolio to 50% bonds and 50% stocks in mutual funds. ..... It MIGHT be time to rebalance a little heavier into stocks and lighten up on bonds or at least move to shorter duration bonds. Everyone needs to follow a strategy that is likely to work and meet their needs and goals but it does seem to me (and the author of the linked article) that we are at the end of a very long bull market in bonds. Just my opinion - not advice. ---ron http://finance.yahoo.com/news/2016-marked-the-end-of-the-biggest-bull-market-of-our-lifetimes-154353053.html Ron Engelsman http://www.mytripjournal.com/our_odyssey Full-Timing since mid 2007 23' Komfort TT 2004 Chevy Avalanche 4x4 8.1L
whj469 Posted January 21, 2017 Report Posted January 21, 2017 I don't try to time the market, ever. When they asked Warren Buffet what he had for his better half he answered 90% stocks and 10% cash.
Ray,IN Posted March 4, 2017 Report Posted March 4, 2017 I'm sure glad I didn't subscribe to "the sky is falling" and left everything alone. My advisor told me years ago to develop nerves of steel and stay the course, this while showing me a graph of the stock market for the last 50 years. 2000 Winnebago Ultimate Freedom USQ40JD, ISC 8.3 Cummins 350, Spartan MM Chassis. USA IN 1SG retired;Good Sam Life member,FMCA ." And so, my fellow Americans: ask not what your country can do for you--ask what you can do for your country. John F. Kennedy 20 Jan 1961
MadeItToFT Posted March 4, 2017 Report Posted March 4, 2017 Yep, I subscribe to Warren Buffet for long term investments of 90% S&P index and 10% cash. Also his put it in slowly over 10 years so you DCA and don't put it all in at the wrong time! However, I also subscribe to Stop Losses and trail these up as prudent, so when 2008 and also for us 2015 occurs we get out into all cash until the curl upwards begins again. We apply the same principals to our smaller fun account for shorter term swing trades on both the short and long side, with trailing stop losses to lock in profits or bail on smaller losses if the suspected goes against us.
RV_ Posted March 16, 2017 Report Posted March 16, 2017 I follow Buffet's advice too. (Sell high, buy low) Markets time themselves, but many sell on a downswing, then they lose money. I have sold about a fifth of my shares when TSLA hit almost $100, enough to take my original investment back, plus enough for a token 5% profit. I also held a small block of cash to buy when next Tesla went lower. It never went below $100 again. Several times it dropped after it hit a new high over 250, once to 125 and I caught it at 135 to buy another good size block. But I don't have the cash to try to sell it every time it is high and then buy again low, which also involves a tax hit on capital gains. I know there are several riskier ways to short etc., but I don't know a "put" from a "putt! I won't risk my position since it went public, when I got in at 17 and 22.5, two or three more times. I always put new cash in and am about to make my position substantially more with inherited cash with Tesla because of the Model 3 and the just announced for 2018 Model Y. That gives them a product line in cars of the S, E, X, Y. (Tesla makes their 3 in the logo like three Stacked lines) I believe the next few years will be some confusing times for investors. The banks appear to be moving their cash out to investments trying not to be caught with too much cash for what they expect next, according to one opinion advertorial I read this morning. I believe we are seeing the beginning of another historic short squeeze in Tesla. I believe that putting our new inherited cash into investments will be the best thing. The succession will take effect this week and then we will be liquidating their property, and soon after, sometime next year we will be selling our little five acres and moving North or possibly to either Bogota Colombia or Costa Rica, since BC appears to be out for retirees for now. Bogota is 45-68 degrees average temps. Tamarindo Costa Rica comes in with coldest and hottest only 5 degrees apart with an average temperature of 29°C (84°F) and the coldest is September at 26°C (79°F) Bogota is much cooler than here, where temps in summer are getting out of hand with spikes into 110 degrees several times in the past few years. Call it what you want, color it natural or human, but I believe these Southern states are going to get very uncomfortable in my lifetime, and unlivable sooner than my kids end of life. Can you say Death Valley coming soon to a sea level near you? For most of us here, long term weather is no concern. I know I won't be here in 2047 at age 95. I expect my kids will. RV/Derekhttp://www.rvroadie.com Email on the bottom of my website page.Retired AF 1971-1998 When you see a worthy man, endeavor to emulate him. When you see an unworthy man, look inside yourself. - Confucius “Those who can make you believe absurdities, can make you commit atrocities.” ... Voltaire
notop Posted April 16, 2017 Report Posted April 16, 2017 Just curious, where have you seen spikes over 110 degrees that are unusual (meaning that there are no historical spikes over the same hurdle)?
RV_ Posted April 17, 2017 Report Posted April 17, 2017 In the Princeton area over the last decades I've lived here on and off during my military career, from 1971 to present, I'd not seen it ever hit 110, let alone over, until the last ten years as it has here in Princeton LA in 2011. it has historically been in the high 90s but lately it hits 100 regularly. The outdoor thermometer pictured always tracked our outdoor digital one, both in the shade, within a degree. I took that pic because even I didn't believe it. It was actually a bit over, about 112°, when viewed straight on. RV/Derekhttp://www.rvroadie.com Email on the bottom of my website page.Retired AF 1971-1998 When you see a worthy man, endeavor to emulate him. When you see an unworthy man, look inside yourself. - Confucius “Those who can make you believe absurdities, can make you commit atrocities.” ... Voltaire
Al F Posted April 17, 2017 Author Report Posted April 17, 2017 On 4/17/2017 at 0:59 AM, RV_ said: In the Princeton area over the last decades I've lived here on and off during my military career, from 1971 to present, I'd not seen it ever hit 110, let alone over, until the last ten years as it has here in Princeton LA in 2011. it has historically been in the high 90s but lately it hits 100 regularly. The outdoor thermometer pictured always tracked our outdoor digital one, both in the shade, within a degree. I took that pic because even I didn't believe it. It was actually a bit over, about 112°, when viewed straight on. No question in my mind that the earth temps are rising. But 110 in Shreveport, LA area for an official temp is really stretching it. However it is not supported by the weather station at near by Barksdale Air Force Base as reported by Weather Underground History reports. Additionally a large number of days in the 100's is not supported by the history reports from 2014-2016 for the months of July & August. Although August 2015 was a very hot month with a 7 day stretch of 100's, topping out at 105. On the other hand the summer of 2014 was fairly cool with no days of over 100 and a number of days with the highs not leaving the 80's Below are the links to the July & Aug temps from 2104-2016: (OOPS, Editing date to 2014-2016) July 2016 Two days of 100, the rest in the 90’s and no days of the 80’s Aug 2016 No days of 100 plus, 11 days in the 80’s July 2015 Three days of 100 to 101, two days in the 80’s and the rest in 90’s Aug 2015 7 day stretch of over 100, with a high of 105 July 2014 No days of over 100, but 10 days in 80’s, 4 days in the 70’s with the rest in the 90’s Aug 2014 No days of over 100, 4 in the 80’s and 1 day with a high of 71. Al & Sharon 2006 Winnebago Journey 36G 2020 Chevy Colorado Toad San Antonio, TX http://downtheroadaroundthebend.blogspot.com/
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