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RV's as an economic indicator


Ray,IN

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From The Atlantic, written by Alana Semuals: https://www.theatlantic.com/business/archive/2016/12/rv-indicator/511787/

I think that is sound reasoning.

 

2000 Winnebago Ultimate Freedom USQ40JD, ISC 8.3 Cummins 350, Spartan MM Chassis. USA IN 1SG retired;Good Sam Life member,FMCA ." And so, my fellow Americans: ask not what your country can do for you--ask what you can do for your country.  John F. Kennedy 20 Jan 1961

 

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The marine industry had a good Fall boat show sales season. Most orders taken since 2008. The Miami International Boat show and the New York show are this month and next. It will be interesting to see if the trend continues.

Water sports are at the bottom end of the recreation spending chain, so if they are moving up then the mood of the people with a little reserve cash is improving.

Jim's Adventures

Old Spacecraft.... Who knows whats next

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Causative factor and what I believe is really driving the economy at this time is energy prices. Once the higher fuel tax models were rejected and the price structure stabilized we saw recovery. While there have been a few slow downs or stutters, they have been more than compensated for with the projections on reserves.

Berkshire XL 40QL

Camphosting and touring


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Causative factor and what I believe is really driving the economy at this time is energy prices. Once the higher fuel tax models were rejected and the price structure stabilized we saw recovery. While there have been a few slow downs or stutters, they have been more than compensated for with the projections on reserves.

Well, Indiana may put a damper on that for residents. State government is considering raising road tax by 8-12 cents/gallon.

 

2000 Winnebago Ultimate Freedom USQ40JD, ISC 8.3 Cummins 350, Spartan MM Chassis. USA IN 1SG retired;Good Sam Life member,FMCA ." And so, my fellow Americans: ask not what your country can do for you--ask what you can do for your country.  John F. Kennedy 20 Jan 1961

 

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I wouldn't get too excited about the numbers. Keep in mind that the industry was not too healthy after 2005. In reality the climb is more about recovery rather than new business. And who's figures are they? Build figures? Sales to dealers? Registration numbers? And listening to a manufacturer marketing manager would be like believing everything an RV salesman told you.

 

Let's see the figures when fuel gets back to $4.00. And it will.

 

Am I negative? Yes.

 

Also keep in mind that it is possible that new sales in RVs may be a result of folks not being able to afford sticks and bricks and are buying RVs as a 'cheap' housing option. So in reality they may be built as RVs but used as housing.

 

Get two economists in a room and let them 'debate' the figures.

 

regards

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